Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.043779 0.050934 0.058887 0.068383 0.079417 0.091836 0.106882
2025-11-23 0.032455 0.041756 0.053168 0.068203 0.087507 0.111484 0.143572
2025-11-30 0.026415 0.036695 0.050293 0.069608 0.096372 0.132211 0.183966
2025-12-07 0.021717 0.032126 0.046770 0.068892 0.101526 0.148007 0.219460
2025-12-14 0.017999 0.028108 0.043105 0.066999 0.104200 0.160079 0.250746
2025-12-21 0.015154 0.024834 0.039891 0.065043 0.106130 0.170845 0.281026
2025-12-28 0.013575 0.023245 0.038949 0.066338 0.113088 0.189974 0.326757
2026-01-04 0.012099 0.021575 0.037588 0.066652 0.118311 0.206734 0.370562
2026-01-11 0.010839 0.020074 0.036269 0.066780 0.123103 0.223171 0.415750
2026-01-18 0.009893 0.018987 0.035502 0.067728 0.129374 0.242822 0.469109
2026-01-25 0.009188 0.018241 0.035235 0.069517 0.137354 0.266430 0.532794
2026-02-01 0.008107 0.016620 0.033110 0.067445 0.137602 0.275391 0.569065
2026-02-08 0.007354 0.015567 0.031983 0.067261 0.141696 0.292584 0.624729
2026-02-15 0.006645 0.014510 0.030718 0.066632 0.144806 0.308220 0.679398
2026-02-22 0.006198 0.013946 0.030388 0.067914 0.152091 0.333345 0.757701
2026-03-01 0.005631 0.013041 0.029216 0.067199 0.154898 0.349203 0.817569
2026-03-08 0.005043 0.012009 0.027635 0.065349 0.154891 0.358818 0.864407
2026-03-15 0.004521 0.011059 0.026117 0.063440 0.154482 0.367424 0.909955
2026-03-22 0.004266 0.010714 0.025949 0.064703 0.161762 0.394759 1.004394
2026-03-29 0.003975 0.010240 0.025417 0.065009 0.166735 0.417179 1.089620
2026-04-05 0.003701 0.009773 0.024844 0.065135 0.171266 0.439055 1.176393
2026-04-12 0.003494 0.009452 0.024595 0.066059 0.177967 0.467194 1.283378
2026-04-19 0.003344 0.009262 0.024656 0.067804 0.187061 0.502598 1.414706